The Federal Communications Commission is fast-tracking a plan to potentially scrap its national television ownership cap, a move that could trigger a wave of media consolidation. Just one day after securing a 2-1 Republican majority, the agency’s Media Bureau reopened public comment on the long-standing rules that limit how many local stations a single company can own.
The political tailwind: The push is being championed by FCC Chairman Brendan Carr, who calls the current 39% ownership cap an “arcane and artificial” limit that hamstrings local broadcasters against Big Tech. Broadcast lobbying groups like the National Association of Broadcasters are cheering the move, arguing it will give them a fair chance to compete. The commission is also reconsidering the “UHF discount,” a loophole that effectively lets station owners bypass the cap.
For sale signs pop up: This regulatory push arrives as the local TV industry is getting hammered by declining ad revenue, cord-cutting, and massive debt. Several major players are already heading for the exits, with companies like Allen Media Group, Sinclair Broadcasting, and Apollo-owned Cox Media Group all reportedly looking to offload station portfolios. The market has cooled considerably, with station valuations falling from a peak of over 12 times cash flow in the early 2000s to around 8 times today, according to S&P Global analysis cited by TheWrap.
A buyer’s dilemma: Even if the cap is eliminated, it’s unclear who can afford to buy. The most likely strategic acquirers—companies like Nexstar and Gray TV—are already bumping up against the 39% ceiling. That makes major M&A impossible without the very rule changes now on the table, creating a consolidation catch-22 for an industry in distress.
The bottom line: The FCC is positioning deregulation as a lifeline for struggling local TV stations, but the industry’s precarious financial state means any changes are likely to pave the way for a smaller number of bigger players to dominate the airwaves. The political gears driving this shift include the recent Senate confirmation of a new Republican commissioner that cemented the FCC’s majority. Meanwhile, the financial pressure on station owners is palpable, with Sinclair recently striking a major deal with its creditors to manage its debt. The push for deregulation is also backed by a coalition of conservative groups that has been actively lobbying the agency for change.
